Integrated Assessment of Natural Hazards, Including Climate Change’s Influences, for Cultural Heritage Sites: The Case of the Historic Centre of Rethymno in Greece

论文摘要

Within the framework of disaster risk management, this article proposes an interdisciplinary method for the analysis of multiple natural hazards, including climate change’s influences, in the context of cultural heritage. A taxonomy of natural hazards applicable to cultural heritage was developed based on the existing theoretical and conceptual frameworks. Sudden-onset hazards, such as earthquakes and floods, and slow-onset hazards, such as wetting–drying cycles and biological contamination, were incorporated into the hazard assessment procedure. Future alteration of conditions due to climate change, such as change in heat waves’ duration, was also taken into account. The proposed hazard assessment framework was applied to the case of the Historic Centre of Rethymno, a city on the northern coast of the island of Crete in Greece,to identify, analyze, and prioritize the hazards that have the potential to cause damage to the center’s historic structures. The assessment procedure includes climate model projections, GIS spatial modeling and mapping, and finally a hazard analysis matrix to enable the sharing of a better understanding of multiple hazards with the stakeholders.The results can facilitate decision making by providing the vulnerability and risk analysis with the nature and spatial distribution of the significant hazards within the study area and its setting.

论文目录

• 1 Introduction
•   1.1 Natural Hazards and Disasters
•   1.2 Cultural Heritage and Natural Hazards
• 2 Methodological Framework
•   2.1 Classification of Natural Hazards
•   2.2 Analyzing and Evaluating the Natural Hazards
•     2.2.1 Severity of Natural Hazards and Threats
•     2.2.2 Likelihood of Natural Hazards
•     2.2.3 Relevance of Natural Hazards for Site Managers
•     2.2.4 Expected Intensity of Hazard Impact（a Preliminary Analysis）
• 3 The Historic Centre of Rethymno and the Fortezza Fortress
•   3.1 Geological and Climatological Background
•   3.2 Cultural Heritage Properties in the Study Area
• 4 Hazard Analysis and Evaluation at Rethymno
•   4.1 Climate Analysis and Projections
•   4.2 Hazard Modeling and Mapping
•     4.2.1 Earthquake Hazard
•     4.2.2 Landslide Hazard
•     4.2.3 Wind Hazard
•     4.2.4 Flash and Coastal Flooding Hazard
•     4.2.5 Salinization Hazard
•   4.3 Hazard Analysis and Evaluation
• 5 Conclusion

文章来源

类型: 期刊论文

作者: Mohammad Ravankhah,Rosmarie de Wit,Athanasios V.Argyriou,Angelos Chliaoutakis,Maria Jo?o Revez,Joern Birkmann,Maja ?uvela-Aloise,Apostolos Sarris,Anastasia Tzigounaki,Kostas Giapitsoglou

来源: International Journal of Disaster Risk Science 2019年03期

年度: 2019

分类: 工程科技Ⅰ辑

专业: 安全科学与灾害防治

单位: Institute of Spatial and Regional Planning (IREUS–Institut für Raumordnung und Entwicklungsplanung), University of Stuttgart,The Archaeological Research Unit, Department of History and Archaeology, University of Cyprus

基金: based on the STORM (Safeguarding Cultural Heritage through Technical and Organisational Resources Management) Project,funded by the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation program under Grant agreement No.700191

分类号: X43

页码: 343-361

总页数: 19

文件大小: 20439K

下载量: 12